Everyone is over thinking this....It's one of the last five on the list....Probably, one of the three with a tattoo ....

This isn't a dime store mystery novel  that is rapped up cleverly in five minutes at the end....This is about Jane slowly and methodically grinding down the number of suspects until he finally corners his man ...

Red John is as capable as Jane - maybe more capable .... and, unlike other criminals Jane investigated, RJ never made mistakes ... but finally he did make one ... revealing he shook hands with Jane to Lorelei ... and then Lorelei to Jane ...

Jane is like a very good chess player who is playing a chess master... and he's lost game after game for years ... but finally the master lost his concentration... and then lost his queen ...

Jane doesn't have to outplay him now ... He just has to grind out the game ... take piece after piece off the board until only the King is left ... and Jane has it down to three....